Premier League · Saturday 19 September, 17:30

Nottingham ForestvCoventry City

Published before kickoff · model v2 · View the GitHub record ↗

Full-time result

Home

54%

Draw

25%

Away

21%

Total goals

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Under 2.5 goals

45%

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Estimate updated Sunday 6 September · updated daily at 03:00 UK time

Match preview

AI-generated

Nottingham Forest are favoured to win, with the model giving them a 54% probability, compared with 25% for the draw and 21% for Coventry City. Forest ended last season with three wins in their final six Premier League matches, scoring five at Sunderland and four at home to Burnley. Coventry are returning to this level after closing their Championship campaign unbeaten in six, including three consecutive wins in which they scored 12 goals. Forest also won three of the four meetings listed, although those games were played between 2020 and 2022. The total-goals lean is over 2.5 at 55%, with under 2.5 at 45%.

Written by a language model from the numbers on this page and historical results only.

Probabilities come from a market-anchored statistical ensemble. See the methodology for how they are produced and verified.